Fuck me, they must be tiny.
Number of cases up 1280 to 9357. edit: went up 1542 yesterday, so drop in rate of cases too.
Letâs not get too excited about the lower than logarithmic jump in infections today.
- UK only runs 5,000 tests a day
- Sunshine kills the Virus quicker
Itâs my view that a lot of people are going to have a good hard look at how theyâve been treated by their employers, and whether they want new ones.
I am sure I am not alone in being able to recount tales of shabby treatment of employees by employers.
Itâs not just that though; itâs the entire system. One of the best quotes Iâve heard is that âa crisis tells you whatâs already brokenâ
I confidently predict that Sundayâs figure will show a decrease of 4.16666666%.
I have to admit that I am confused as to why they even publish a âconfirmed casesâ figure as this is only relative to the number of tests carried out. Therefore the exact same number of tests would be needed everyday and given at random across the population for this to be an indicator the actual infection rate.
What it tells us is simply that there are more with symptoms that have given them concern so they have contacted 111, and been selected for a test, which is expected at this stage.
A better marker for the epidemiology would be the hospitalization rate OVER And ABOVE the normal expected rate for respiratory infection
As mentioned before, approx 1880 people mostly over 70 die each week from complications due to or from Respiratory disease. I donât know how many are hospitalizaed but that is a population that is highly vulnerable to this virus and very likely to need specialist care if they get it.
But even the death rate will depend on the time window you are looking at.
Its clear this virus is hugely accelerating the death of vulnerable people, when you look at Italy and a 6-8 week window, but if we look at the figures in 12 months over a 12 month window, how many more deaths will there have been in this group thank those expected over a longer time frame?
This appears to be a bastard of a virus because itâs so easily transmitted and accelerated death in those with potential vulnerabilities⊠the ONLY way to reduce its impact is the isolation model, and ensuring all who need it get access to the care they need⊠but we canât keep âspare capacityâ within a healthcare system so do we manage that?
I think when this does slow down and we return to a new normal, we may well find there are large warehouse like centres left set up for the inevitable outbreaks⊠until the vaccine is sorted.
Thought I would give that Joe Wicks HIIT stuff a go this morning
Christ he is an annoying sod
Just been doing it with the kids in the school.
They hate it.
LOL.
My gut reaction is to end my future boycott because the draw of cheap beer is too much for me.
Interesting stats from the models that show what can happen if not everyone complies.
A new University of Sydney study modeled the spread of COVID-19 across Australia and quantified the direct relationship between the duration of these acute social distancing measures and the percentage of the population that abides by the rules.
âIf we want to control the spread of COVID-19 â rather than letting the disease control us â at least 80 percent of the Australian population must comply with strict social distancing measures for at least four months,â explains study lead on the new modeling, Mikhail Prokopenko. "However, if 90 percent of the population complies, then the duration could be as short as 13 to 14 weeks â meaning if we began tomorrow we could expect a control of COVID-19 by July.â
Perhaps the most striking finding in the study is the revelation that if less than 70 percent of the population comply with social distancing practices, the pandemic cannot be suppressed. Prokopenko suggests any social distancing practices would be âfruitlessâ if not adopted by a large enough volume of people
It seems cheap when youâre guzzling it but trust me, the price in the long run is very high indeed.
Heâs doing it wrong, I think the water is coming out of his mouth.
Interesting to read the whole thread not the headline
Meanwhile ⊠back to 3rd world problems - whatâs everyone planning to do with their hair during the lock down ? Iâm normally a short back and sides man myself but the added hair length is doing nothing for my good looks right now. Contemplating the buzz cut but Mrs SCD is not happy at all. @SimplySaint is in denial - his barnet is some kind of weird creation that comprises shaving, parting shaving, blends, fades and all sorts of hair products. It will come to him too.
So (unless youâre folically challenged), whatâs your plan ? Photos will be required in due course âŠ
SCD
I have my clippers that I have set on a grade 4, I will be using them soon as my barnet is getting a bit unruly.
At some point, when all this is over, I will be visiting my hairdresser friend for a proper tidy up.
Or I may just grow my hair long and have a ponytail to reflect that I am an ageing computer programmer nerdâŠ
Wonder how altruistic Dyson is being, will he sell them âat costâ until the crisis is overâŠ