So Iāve seen 2 articles today.
One about how the rich are having to hover and make their own beds. As Alexei Sayel said āon the humanityā.
This one also caught my eye. I am fed up of influencers but I suppose they have to make money ans I donāt really want people out of jobs.
Is that because their floors arenāt being cleaned and they canāt risk getting dirty feet?
Thatās it.
Jokes apart, the TV stuff Iāve been doing is aimed at Influencers.
Loved giving them INFLUENCE advice. Even been getting some love for it
From influencers
For no good reason, I harbour an intense dislike for social media āinfluencers,ā as well as anybody allowing themselves to be āinfluencedā by them and any company that employs them. I wish them no physical or personal harm, but detest the ācareerā path they have chosen and desperately hope that it fails.
Irrational, I know, but heartfelt just the same.
Agreed, they will need to find a proper job. Like you I wish no one Iāll will, but itās the fact this has become a career choice is utterly ridiculousā¦ knobs
Chris Giles, the FT Economics Editor has released a new estimate of total COVID-19 related deaths.
Instead of the 19,506 hospital deaths his model projects 45,200 total deaths
When we see these charts comparing our death toll with others around.the world, are we all using the same methodology - i.e. only deaths in hospitals?
Or do other countries, as would be logical and not that difficult (if you bother to test people outside of hospital), actually capture total COVID-19 related deaths?
A coroner in Germany, for example, could confidently ascribe a COVID-19 cause of death to someone who died in a care home if they had previously tested positive - enabled by their massive and early-introduced testing programme.
And if it is the case that our figures are alone in only including deaths in hospitals, then we potentially have an incredibly high death toll.
Thatās why you should check out https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
They collect TOTAL number of deaths data by week. The graphs then plotted based on a coefficient of how different the total is from the expected normā¦ an average over many years and also shows the seasonal variation.
This in effect shows which countries have the biggest increases over their normal range and over what time frameā¦
Therefore it removes any issue over how or where the s deaths are recorded, and in effect takes into account the normal expected.
Ultimately you donāt get an actual figure of COVID-19 attributed deaths, which to be honest is not really the figure that is important, but you get a very good accurate picture of the IMPACT of COVID -19 on the number of local deaths
Where do need more accurate stats For future policy is an understanding of extra deaths due to COVID -19 itself, complications and importantly due to the shift in care away from other treatments. W.g what impact will the delayed cancer screening programs have etcā¦ we nee to make sure that in future outbreaks, we have a plan for continuity of these services, not just a sudden shift of all resources to infectious disease
There will be people in future who die because Ric COVID-19 who have never had the virus.
Oops
Followed by the 1st science
Masks on. Another howler by UK PLC
Yeah, each time you paste the link I take a look but itās not formulated so that I can answer my immediate question.
I donāt doubt itās the right (the best) place to get my answer, just find it difficult to isolate the time-frame and countries for comparison.
Now if someone who works in health and has more time on his hands than normal would like to produce that analysis then Iād be very grateful.
x
Didnāt the chief medical officer say that 20k deaths would be a good number to keep under? Weāre about to hit that on hospital deaths alone.
It beggars belief that the government is unable to procure the same figures that national newspapers are able to get.
Itās only a howler, @Polski_Filip, if the reason for not making us wear masks was a) it would instantly take away all hope of front line healthcare staff every seeing a mask again (we stockpiled loo roll FFS) and/or b) we were aiming for herd immunity and to get it all over in one way through a ātake it on the chinā strategy.
So Iām not going with howler, these were decisions made.
Er, how to put thisā¦
Well neither of these studies is about masks or directly associated with testing the difference between likely infection rate between mask wearing or hand washing. Both are generally observational studies
The first study concludes that the higher infection rate is likely due to the TIME spent in proximity, but does NOT make any conclusions as to whether this is due to airborne or surface transmission
The second study is reporting a likely air conditioning system spread - which is always likely and why we all fucking colds after flights, as the system keep circulating. Itās known that the virus can be transmitted in water droplets from nose and coughing etc, hence the 2m distancing. Air con will do a great job of propelling these particles further and for longerā¦ before their settle on someone or a surface we later touch.
So whilst it is extremely important for anyone who has has symptoms or works closely with to use masks and avoid spreading water droplets full of the virus, the two meter rule and avoiding people, Washing your hands is still the most important thing to do since there is evidence of high infection rates from surface transmission
In addition, there is the false protection psychology of mask wearing. If you are disciplined enough to still wash you hand BEFORE you put it on and take it off on ALL occasions you use it, great, but touching a surface then taking mask off will simply transfer to the maskā¦
Itās all about basic and discipline hygiene ā¦ and remember the masks are designed to keep your germs in, not others out or those on the chair or desk of cup etcā¦
That ties in with the projections.
Fuck. Nearly half and it doesnāt even get counted or retrospectively communicated in our daily briefings.
And letās remember that when each of those care home victims started to fall ill and the staff tried to transfer them to hospital or ICU they would have been told that they would not be admitted because they failed the NICE test.
One horribly uncomfortable reason that our NHS has coped so admirably during the crisis and perhaps the reason that Italyās was overrun.
Did they try to save everyone and we decided to try to save only those that had the best chance of pulling through?
Haha.
Like everyone else, I donāt have the raw data on actual COVID 19 deaths - eg deaths in folks who have died as a direct result of the infection and would not have died had they not got the infection.
Same as I donāt have the underlying death rate in care homes to subtract from the care Home deaths to monitor the increase versus pure COVID 19
Itās why the TOTAL deaths above the expected weekly average is ten best way to gauge both the impact of the measure being taken and provide an idea of which countries did better and what can we learn from them
Germany appears to have handle it very well but that is most likely to a number of factorsā¦ not just the testing and tracking but a generally healthier population with less respiratory and cardiovascular problems in the elderly and also a much. Ether health care system - care homes are staffed generally by nurses and Health care professionals, not the well meaning but often less qualified folks we have here in many private homes
We need to look at all countries and come up with a much better plan for both future outbreaks and the health care we get - it needs to be properly funded. So how much of that will Cummings and Boris give a fuck about?
We have not tried to save everyone. I suspect as a matter of policy - it will be argued that it was based on risk and probability of survival. Eg Government will say if you have 1000 beds and 2000 need them, give the beds to those most likely to surviveā¦ Its a typical dehumanised rational, cold hard cunt Politics . probably why a government advisor sat in those Sage briefings he should have been nowhere near, taking clinical data ( which is never used to make decisions over who receives care) and it would not be too much to speculate that it could be used it precisely for that in his briefings
Itās a very simple trick theyāve pulled.
I accept that even outside of the COVID-19 pandemic, people were routinely asked to sign DNR notices, but itās nothing like the scale of what is going on here.
To see the government standing up day after day, lying to the public about the provisions, about the number of deaths, has been particularly sickening.
The social contract is at breaking point.
