Labour leadership race - Corbyn elected leader

Originally posted by @pap

From 2011 and shaking out of Wikileaks.

Britain’s independent nuclear deterrent.

Information about every Trident missile the US supplies to Britain will be given to Russia as part of an arms control deal signed by President Barack Obama next week.

Defence analysts claim the agreement risks undermining Britain’s policy of refusing to confirm the exact size of its nuclear arsenal.

The fact that the Americans used British nuclear secrets as a bargaining chip also sheds new light on the so-called “special relationship”, which is shown often to be a one-sided affair by US diplomatic communications obtained by the WikiLeaks website.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8304654/WikiLeaks-cables-US-agrees-to-tell-Russia-Britains-nuclear-secrets.html

Well worth 100bn!

Thats why we need to spend the money - if the russian know all the secrets about our existing detterent, then we need to buy another ultra secret deterrent that they dont know about.

A thought, if we refuse to confirm how many nukes we’ve got it tends to suggest that the number is so small that our enemies are more likely to die laughing that be vaporised. If we had a massive amount then I am pretty sure that we would brag about it saying don’t fuck with us, we have 10,000 warheads pointing at your ass

Originally posted by @CB-Saint

Thats why we need to spend the money - if the russian know all the secrets about our existing detterent, then we need to buy another ultra secret deterrent that they dont know about.

Except renewal will mean getting large components from the US, including the missiles themselves. That worked out for us real well the last time. Not much more than an extension of their power, and there is no fucking way they’d ever work if push came to shove between us and the US.

We shouldn’t buy anything. If an independent deterrent is what we’re after, we need to develop it here without foreign assistance. That’s what independence means. What we’ve had is 50 years of running around after the US on foreign policy, occasionally having the odd Prime Minister that didn’t want to get involved.

A thought, if we refuse to confirm how many nukes we’ve got it tends to suggest that the number is so small that our enemies are more likely to die laughing that be vaporised. If we had a massive amount then I am pretty sure that we would brag about it saying don’t fuck with us, we have 10,000 warheads pointing at your ass

We can refuse to confirm all we like. Our allies, the US, can sell our secrets to the enemy at any time. And that is precisely what they did - quantifying the numbers on our program.

The issue is so cut and dry that Diane Abbott can write an entire article on it, and sound entirely reasonable throughout.

The truth is that the complainers say more about political attitudes during the New Labour era than about defence policy. On the specific issue of Trident, three senior military officers, Field Marshal Lord Bramall, General Lord Ramsbotham and General Sir Hugh Beach, summed up the case against it in a letter to the Times in 2009.

Among other things they pointed out: “The force cannot be seen as independent of the United States in any meaningful sense. It relies on the United States for the provision and regular servicing of the D5 missiles. While this country has, in theory, freedom of action over giving the order to fire, it is unthinkable that, because of the catastrophic consequences for guilty and innocent alike, these weapons would ever be launched, or seriously threatened, without the backing and support of the United States.” This shows how utterly pointless the “finger on the button” question is.

And the generals went on: “Nuclear weapons have shown themselves to be completely useless as a deterrent to the threats and scale of violence we currently, or are likely, to face, particularly international terrorism; and the more you analyse them the more unusable they appear … Our independent deterrent has become virtually irrelevant except in the context of domestic politics.”

It was an off the cuff comment. But honestly, I thought it was poor. Very little substance and very boring. Liked the use of the phrase ‘ordinary people’ a couple of times, sounds like the boring Tory ‘hard working people’ rhetoric that’s been spewed the last 6 years. Just another fucking soundbite.

Still won’t broach the subject of immigration as well, which is strange as it’s one of the main vote winners.

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It makes you wonder what the point of it is.

We have a ptiful amount of missiles

Everyone knows about them thanks to the yanks

No one in their right mind will push the button

The generals dont think it is relevent, (although I wonder if the admirals take a different view given that it is part of their fiefdom)

Sounds to me as if this is futile attempt by the politicians to have some credibility of the world stage - international class willy waving if you will.

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Originally posted by @Chertsey-Saint

It was an off the cuff comment. But honestly, I thought it was poor. Very little substance and very boring. Liked the use of the phrase ‘ordinary people’ a couple of times, sounds like the boring Tory ‘hard working people’ rhetoric that’s been spewed the last 6 years. Just another fucking soundbite.

Still won’t broach the subject of immigration as well, which is strange as it’s one of the main vote winners.

It’s not going to have people rushing to vote Conservative though, is it?

We’re getting to the stage now where most people, Conservative voters included, are starting to feel the pain of the cuts. It doesn’t have to be direct either. I know people that are currently putting their hands in their own pockets to look after people that have been sanctioned, reclassified or whatever. They may not receive benefits themselves, but they’re now realising that voting Tory hasn’t helped them to keep money in their pockets.

I agree that they’ve got to grasp the nettle on immigration, which is why I’m a fan of Burnham’s plan to get more cash for us on the basis of our popularity. We need infrastructure whatever. May as well building for the society we think we’ll be. If the British public can be convinced that immigration doesn’t necessarily have to coincide with competition for public services and jobs, then I don’t think it’s going to be a problem.

I argue with people on Facebook all the time about immigration. Unfailingly, all of the people who complain are over forty five, and if they cared about shallow capitalist definitions of “making it”, are nowhere fucking near that standard. Their racism comes from insecurity as much as anything else.

I would suggest that all of us on this board have suffered from Tory cuts, I don’t think there is anyone on here that doesn’t. Next year I will be £8500 worse off than I was in 2012. However, it still doesn’t make me want to risk the future with Corbyn.

As an aside, I think the Tories will look to cut down the austerity plan, and look for a more balanced way to cut the deficit on the way to the next election.

Originally posted by @Chertsey-Saint

I would suggest that all of us on this board have suffered from Tory cuts, I don’t think there is anyone on here that doesn’t. Next year I will be £8500 worse off than I was in 2012. However, it still doesn’t make me want to risk the future with Corbyn.

As an aside, I think the Tories will look to cut down the austerity plan, and look for a more balanced way to cut the deficit on the way to the next election.

And what are you getting for that £8.5K? I think we can collectively agree that public services are getting worse. Is it really reasonable that you pay more for less? Why?

Besides, I’m not talking about lavishly compensated contractors losing their family allowance or whatnot. Try living without any money, or perpetually not enough. One of ms pap’s aunts has recently been declared fit to work (she isn’t, and six months in she is still waiting for an appeal). Luckily, her nipper has a decent job in Dubai, and is able to help her out from afar. She’d be prey for the loan sharks otherwise.

What fucking future are you risking, Cherts? :cool:

The collapse of the contract market if Labour stifle the large corporations for one. The only advantage I have is I am young enough and with enough skills to emigrate if that did happen. These businesses will have to get somewhere anyway. The money I am losing isn’t down to Child benefit (although I don’t get that now), but more due to the new dividend tax rules for Limited companies.

I agree services are worse, but the main point was our services were unsustainable at the quality they were, and the amount of money we were spending on them. Pretty simple really.

Originally posted by @Chertsey-Saint

The collapse of the contract market if Labour stifle the large corporations for one. The only advantage I have is I am young enough and with enough skills to emigrate if that did happen. These businesses will have to get somewhere anyway. The money I am losing isn’t down to Child benefit (although I don’t get that now), but more due to the new dividend tax rules for Limited companies.

Yeah, but that’s going to be dovetailed with stuff like sick pay, holiday pay and the same kinds of protections afforded to other workers. The idea that every corporate is going to do the offs is nonsense, and he’s talking about creating new kinds of businesses. Given that IT is the glue to all of them, I don’t see the contract market being a problem.

The contract market shouldn’t be as big as it is anyway. The reason that contractors are so popular is because companies are averse to permanent headcounts. The reason permanent people go into the contract market is because permanent salaries are dogshite. Trust me though; the taxpayer gets no value from these big providers, or the idiots that commission the requirements.

I agree services are worse, but the main point was our services were unsustainable at the quality they were, and the amount of money we were spending on them. Pretty simple really.

It’s far from simple. Consider what we’ve just been talking about; contract labour. Public services are no different from the IT industry. People don’t get paid enough so they go through an agency and earn three times the dough. Public services have been made massively more expensive. Who’d have ever thought that possible when allowing the profit-driven sector in to play? :laughing:

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I just found this - something to while away a few minutes

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Haha, that’s pretty amusing.

I see George Osborne is setting up an infrastructure fund of 25billion. I’m sure his version will see the lot in private hands afterwards, but still, policy swipe. The Corbyn effect?

Definite policy swipe. Positioning the Tories smack bang in the centre as the party for all people, before lurching to the right after winning in 2020.

Speech from Manchester last night.

I only read part of it, I’ll admit. His orthodoxy taints his argument such that it is a political piece.

I agree that there are several who take a messianic view (sic) of Corbyn. I think it’s quite sensible (regrettably) that he is prepared to change his tune. After all, he might not be ‘right’. Now that’s a piece for a philosopher.

I’ve seen better speeches, in fact, I think I’ve probably given better speeches, but the reaction from those that turn out to watch him is impressive.

It’s early days so it may fizzle out, and he may also be preaching to the choir, but that sort of interest at grass-roots level scares political opponents.

Well, I haven’t actually heard you give any speeches, Bletch - but I take your point. He’s not really that polished, and has quite a bit to learn on that front - but then that’s part of his unspun charm.

The crowds are pretty impressive, and you’re probably right - he’s preaching to the choir when the people he’s got to win over aren’t even religious. This speech was also another departure from convention; you’re not supposed to demonstrate against your political rivals in their conference town, during conference.

Ah, gotcha.

That explains his introduction where he stressed he was asked to speak long before he was elected leader.

I do know what you mean about his un-spun charm, but this crutch of clutching for triplets (like Cameron does) is getting annoying.

Despite the fact that he’s been doing this for a long time, I’m sure he’ll improve as his policies start to form and his avenues of attack start to become clearer.

More convention breaking, it would seem. Jeremy Corbyn has apparently rejected a formal offer to join the Privy Council via the well-worn route of kneeling to the Queen. How do I know this? It’s in the Guardian, and ms pap, said “I like Jeremy Corbyn but…”.

And I knew what she was going to say. She predictably went into a sermon about how even though she respected his stance, that others might not on account of their love for the Queen.

For me, this is not a substantive political issue. beyond provoking a debate about whether anyone should be kneeling to anyone in this day and age. That is going to be Corbyn’s biggest challenge. Whenever his opponents do the “look at the exciting thing in the corner!” routine, his team have to point out that it’s a fucking sideshow and draw people back onto the real issues.

Tough job, but they’ve acquitted themselves well so far.

He’s just showing a severe lack of respect. That only goes down well with the real anarchists in society, and there aren’t enough of them to get voted in.

Looks like Corbyn is going down the Galloway route…