The US has never been speedy about negotiating trade deals, least of all free ones. They do not have a free trade deal with either the EU or the UK, and anecdotal I know, but as someone that has made all my money from the US in the last nine years, I’m not seeing the lack of a free trade deal as a particular block, nor have I found the lack of a political union to be a barrier to my prosecuting business there. I know people that have had gripes from immigration when they’re going out 20 times a year, especially if they go through the same airport, but it’s mostly “this is an abuse of the ESTA system”. Which it is, a bit. You can get more robust visas.
I’ve moaned about the negativity of the Remain campaign, but a Brexit is not inconsistent with my long term hopes for this country. You make an excellent point about _our _desperate need to cling onto power. As the emphasis probably shows, I’m not entirely onboard with our. I’m not sure I agree with the contemporary definition of power either. The US has tried implementing hard power for ages. It has gotten them military supremacy, but do they have the respect of the world? I would argue not.
I think our place in the world relies on being the ultimate soft power. We are uniquely placed to achieve it. You could argue that Switzerland has always been more neutral than everybody else, but there is a perceived self-interest about that neutrality, and a constant debate on who gets to be Swiss. You could proclaim France as the cultural capital of the world, and have a shitload of supporting evidence, but you’d be crazy not to consider its far right-wing element, making headway despite numerous electoral tricks to suppress it, or the very separate way it tends to treat its minorities.
We are a post-colonial power that has been there, done that, and mostly successfully dealt with waves of different cultures, part of my own included. We’re an ancient people by most countries’ standards. We are, warts and all, an elder statesman of this planet.
Also, amazingly, we mostly get on, despite being comprised of all sorts from all places.
The questions then, are where is this elder statesman is right now, and where is this elder statesman is best placed?
Obama thinks we’re best in, “leading the EU”. Anyone with any recent knowledge of EU history will know that is not the case. The Conservative Party has been broken over the issue since the full implications of Maastricht were realised. Both sides of the debate have mentioned the France and Germany bloc as an insurmountable obstacle. How can we be leading the EU if that’s the case?
That is before we mention the single currency, which we never really wanted any part of, and haven’t seen too much benefit from. We’ve had to spend taxpayer money bailing out the system and frankly, I remember getting better value out of pesetas than I ever got out of Euros in Spain. It was billed as “hallo, would you like to make everything handy with one single currency?”. It was actually “we’re centralising the issue of currency, and pretending all economies are the same”. Greece was the result.
I think our voice might be clearer if we were independent of the big power blocs, and I don’t fear it.